2020 Regionals Case Bias Stats

Here are the Case Bias stats for the first week. I will update as new results become available.

As usual, the top teams stats look at rounds between teams that went 5-3 or better.

Claremont
P wins: 35 (39.8%)
D wins: 53 (60.2%)
P wins R3: 6.5 (29.5%)
D wins R3: 15.5 (70.5%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 4 (50%)

Norman
P wins: 34.5 (47.9%)
D wins: 37.5 (52.1%)
P wins R3: 9.5 (52.8%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (47.5%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (60%)
D wins (top teams): 4 (40%)

Orlando
P wins: 49.5 (51.9%)
D wins: 46.5 (48.4%)
P wins R3: 8 (33.3%)
D wins R3: 16 (66.7%)
P wins (top teams): 7 (70%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (30%)

Total
P wins: 119 (46.5%)
D wins: 137 (53.5%)
P wins R3: 24 (37.5%)
D wins R3: 40 (62.5%)
P wins (top teams): 17 (60.7%)
D wins (top teams): 11 (39.3%)

Here are the Case Bias stats for the second week.

Wheaton
P wins: 43.5 (49.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 11 (50%)
D wins R3: 11 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 9 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (25%)

Evanston
P wins: 41 (51.3%)
D wins: 39 (48.8%)
P wins R3: 13.5 (67.5%)
D wins R3: 6.5 (32.5%)
P wins (top teams): 4.5 (56.3%)
D wins (top teams): 3.5 (43.8%)

Buffalo
P wins: 43 (53.8%)
D wins: 37 (46.3%)
P wins R3: 11.5 (57.5%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (8.5%)
P wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)

Indianapolis
P wins: 45.5 (56.9%)
D wins: 34.5 (43.1%)
P wins R3: 12.5 (62.5%)
D wins R3: 7.5 (37.5%)
P wins (top teams): 6.5 (54.2%)
D wins (top teams): 5.5 (45.8%)

Houston
P wins: 35 (48.6%)
D wins: 37 (51.4%)
P wins R3: 4 (22.2%)
D wins R3: 14 (77.8%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (60%)

State College
P wins: 45.5 (56.9%)
D wins: 34.5 (43.1%)
P wins R3: 13 (65.0%)
D wins R3: 7 (35.0%)
P wins (top teams): 5 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (50%)

Richmond
P wins: 35.5 (44.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (55.6%)
P wins R3: 10 (50.0%)
D wins R3: 10 (50.0%)
P wins (top teams): 2 (20%)
D wins (top teams): 8 (80%)

San Diego
P wins: 33.5 (46.5%)
D wins: 38.5 (53.5%)
P wins R3: 8 (40.0%)
D wins R3: 12 (60.0%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (60%)

Seattle
P wins: 41 (46.6%)
D wins: 47 (53.4%)
P wins R3: 8 (40%)
D wins R3: 12 (60%)
P wins (top teams): 1 (25.0%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (75.0%)

Total
P wins: 482 (49.4%)
D wins: 493.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 115.5 (47.3%)
D wins R3: 128.5 (52.7%)
P wins (top teams): 58 (51.8%)
D wins (top teams): 54 (48.2%)

Was there any breakdown in these stats by which charge P elected to try?

aymesq wrote:Was there any breakdown in these stats by which charge P elected to try?

I really wish there was, but I don't have access to that data. I'm just running this from the tab summaries. I think only AMTA could give us those stats and they don't usually make that public.

Here are the Case Bias stats for the third week. This case is looking pretty darn balanced.

Jackson
P wins: 45.5 (51.7%)
D wins: 442.5 (48.3%)
P wins R3: 11 (50%)
D wins R3: 11 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 8 (80%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (20%)

Washington
P wins: 54.5 (56.8%)
D wins: 41.5 (43.2%)
P wins R3: 16.5 (68.8%)
D wins R3: 7.5 (31.3%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)

Dayton
P wins: 40.5 (42.2%)
D wins: 45.5 (57.8%)
P wins R3: 12 (50%)
D wins R3: 12 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 0 (0%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (100%)

Lawrence
P wins: 44 (45.8%)
D wins: 52 (54.2%)
P wins R3: 13 (54.2%)
D wins R3: 11 (45.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)

New Haven
P wins: 43.5 (49.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 9 (40.9%)
D wins R3: 13 (59.1%)
P wins (top teams): 1 (12.5%)
D wins (top teams): 7 (87.5%)

New Rochelle
P wins: 49 (55.7%)
D wins: 39 (44.3%)
P wins R3: 13 (59.1%)
D wins R3: 9 (40.9%)
P wins (top teams): 2 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (50%)

Providence
P wins: 51.5 (43.6%)
D wins: 44.5 (46.4%)
P wins R3: 7.5 (31.3%)
D wins R3: 16.5 (68.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (30%)
D wins (top teams): 7 (70%)

Des Moines
P wins: 43.5 (45.3%)
D wins: 52.5 (54.7%)
P wins R3: 13.5 (56.3%)
D wins R3: 10.5 (43.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)

Tallahassee
P wins: 49 (51.0%)
D wins: 47 (49.0%)
P wins R3: 15.5 (64.6%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (35.4%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)

Williamsburg
P wins: 43 (53.8%)
D wins: 37 (46.3%)
P wins R3: 7 (35%)
D wins R3: 13 (65%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (50%)

Tempe
P wins: 46.5 (64.6%)
D wins: 25.5 (35.4%)
P wins R3: 13 (72.2%)
D wins R3: 5 (27.8%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)

Total
P wins: 993 (50.5%)
D wins: 975 (49.5%)
P wins R3: 246.5 (49.9%)
D wins R3: 247.5 (50.1%)
P wins (top teams): 99 (50.5%)
D wins (top teams): 97 (49.5%)

Wow! I am really surprised at how balanced this case is turning out. I think these are some of the best regionals balance numbers since Riley Winter(?) It will be interesting to see the more detailed numbers once AMTA puts out the mid-year balance memo.