 J.D. Lorean
 Posts : 8
Reputation : 15
Join date : 20191120
2020 Regionals Case Bias Stats
Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:50 pm
Here are the Case Bias stats for the first week. I will update as new results become available.
As usual, the top teams stats look at rounds between teams that went 53 or better.
Claremont
P wins: 35 (39.8%)
D wins: 53 (60.2%)
P wins R3: 6.5 (29.5%)
D wins R3: 15.5 (70.5%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 4 (50%)
Norman
P wins: 34.5 (47.9%)
D wins: 37.5 (52.1%)
P wins R3: 9.5 (52.8%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (47.5%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (60%)
D wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
Orlando
P wins: 49.5 (51.9%)
D wins: 46.5 (48.4%)
P wins R3: 8 (33.3%)
D wins R3: 16 (66.7%)
P wins (top teams): 7 (70%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (30%)
Total
P wins: 119 (46.5%)
D wins: 137 (53.5%)
P wins R3: 24 (37.5%)
D wins R3: 40 (62.5%)
P wins (top teams): 17 (60.7%)
D wins (top teams): 11 (39.3%)
As usual, the top teams stats look at rounds between teams that went 53 or better.
Claremont
P wins: 35 (39.8%)
D wins: 53 (60.2%)
P wins R3: 6.5 (29.5%)
D wins R3: 15.5 (70.5%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 4 (50%)
Norman
P wins: 34.5 (47.9%)
D wins: 37.5 (52.1%)
P wins R3: 9.5 (52.8%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (47.5%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (60%)
D wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
Orlando
P wins: 49.5 (51.9%)
D wins: 46.5 (48.4%)
P wins R3: 8 (33.3%)
D wins R3: 16 (66.7%)
P wins (top teams): 7 (70%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (30%)
Total
P wins: 119 (46.5%)
D wins: 137 (53.5%)
P wins R3: 24 (37.5%)
D wins R3: 40 (62.5%)
P wins (top teams): 17 (60.7%)
D wins (top teams): 11 (39.3%)
 J.D. Lorean
 Posts : 8
Reputation : 15
Join date : 20191120
Re: 2020 Regionals Case Bias Stats
Thu Feb 13, 2020 10:12 am
Here are the Case Bias stats for the second week.
Wheaton
P wins: 43.5 (49.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 11 (50%)
D wins R3: 11 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 9 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (25%)
Evanston
P wins: 41 (51.3%)
D wins: 39 (48.8%)
P wins R3: 13.5 (67.5%)
D wins R3: 6.5 (32.5%)
P wins (top teams): 4.5 (56.3%)
D wins (top teams): 3.5 (43.8%)
Buffalo
P wins: 43 (53.8%)
D wins: 37 (46.3%)
P wins R3: 11.5 (57.5%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (8.5%)
P wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
Indianapolis
P wins: 45.5 (56.9%)
D wins: 34.5 (43.1%)
P wins R3: 12.5 (62.5%)
D wins R3: 7.5 (37.5%)
P wins (top teams): 6.5 (54.2%)
D wins (top teams): 5.5 (45.8%)
Houston
P wins: 35 (48.6%)
D wins: 37 (51.4%)
P wins R3: 4 (22.2%)
D wins R3: 14 (77.8%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (60%)
State College
P wins: 45.5 (56.9%)
D wins: 34.5 (43.1%)
P wins R3: 13 (65.0%)
D wins R3: 7 (35.0%)
P wins (top teams): 5 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (50%)
Richmond
P wins: 35.5 (44.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (55.6%)
P wins R3: 10 (50.0%)
D wins R3: 10 (50.0%)
P wins (top teams): 2 (20%)
D wins (top teams): 8 (80%)
San Diego
P wins: 33.5 (46.5%)
D wins: 38.5 (53.5%)
P wins R3: 8 (40.0%)
D wins R3: 12 (60.0%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (60%)
Seattle
P wins: 41 (46.6%)
D wins: 47 (53.4%)
P wins R3: 8 (40%)
D wins R3: 12 (60%)
P wins (top teams): 1 (25.0%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (75.0%)
Total
P wins: 482 (49.4%)
D wins: 493.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 115.5 (47.3%)
D wins R3: 128.5 (52.7%)
P wins (top teams): 58 (51.8%)
D wins (top teams): 54 (48.2%)
Wheaton
P wins: 43.5 (49.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 11 (50%)
D wins R3: 11 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 9 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (25%)
Evanston
P wins: 41 (51.3%)
D wins: 39 (48.8%)
P wins R3: 13.5 (67.5%)
D wins R3: 6.5 (32.5%)
P wins (top teams): 4.5 (56.3%)
D wins (top teams): 3.5 (43.8%)
Buffalo
P wins: 43 (53.8%)
D wins: 37 (46.3%)
P wins R3: 11.5 (57.5%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (8.5%)
P wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
Indianapolis
P wins: 45.5 (56.9%)
D wins: 34.5 (43.1%)
P wins R3: 12.5 (62.5%)
D wins R3: 7.5 (37.5%)
P wins (top teams): 6.5 (54.2%)
D wins (top teams): 5.5 (45.8%)
Houston
P wins: 35 (48.6%)
D wins: 37 (51.4%)
P wins R3: 4 (22.2%)
D wins R3: 14 (77.8%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (60%)
State College
P wins: 45.5 (56.9%)
D wins: 34.5 (43.1%)
P wins R3: 13 (65.0%)
D wins R3: 7 (35.0%)
P wins (top teams): 5 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (50%)
Richmond
P wins: 35.5 (44.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (55.6%)
P wins R3: 10 (50.0%)
D wins R3: 10 (50.0%)
P wins (top teams): 2 (20%)
D wins (top teams): 8 (80%)
San Diego
P wins: 33.5 (46.5%)
D wins: 38.5 (53.5%)
P wins R3: 8 (40.0%)
D wins R3: 12 (60.0%)
P wins (top teams): 4 (40%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (60%)
Seattle
P wins: 41 (46.6%)
D wins: 47 (53.4%)
P wins R3: 8 (40%)
D wins R3: 12 (60%)
P wins (top teams): 1 (25.0%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (75.0%)
Total
P wins: 482 (49.4%)
D wins: 493.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 115.5 (47.3%)
D wins R3: 128.5 (52.7%)
P wins (top teams): 58 (51.8%)
D wins (top teams): 54 (48.2%)
 aymesq
 Posts : 5
Reputation : 3
Join date : 20200213
Re: 2020 Regionals Case Bias Stats
Fri Feb 14, 2020 7:57 pm
Was there any breakdown in these stats by which charge P elected to try?
 J.D. Lorean
 Posts : 8
Reputation : 15
Join date : 20191120
Re: 2020 Regionals Case Bias Stats
Thu Feb 20, 2020 6:33 pm
aymesq wrote:Was there any breakdown in these stats by which charge P elected to try?
I really wish there was, but I don't have access to that data. I'm just running this from the tab summaries. I think only AMTA could give us those stats and they don't usually make that public.
 J.D. Lorean
 Posts : 8
Reputation : 15
Join date : 20191120
Re: 2020 Regionals Case Bias Stats
Thu Feb 20, 2020 6:47 pm
Here are the Case Bias stats for the third week. This case is looking pretty darn balanced.
Jackson
P wins: 45.5 (51.7%)
D wins: 442.5 (48.3%)
P wins R3: 11 (50%)
D wins R3: 11 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 8 (80%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (20%)
Washington
P wins: 54.5 (56.8%)
D wins: 41.5 (43.2%)
P wins R3: 16.5 (68.8%)
D wins R3: 7.5 (31.3%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)
Dayton
P wins: 40.5 (42.2%)
D wins: 45.5 (57.8%)
P wins R3: 12 (50%)
D wins R3: 12 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 0 (0%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (100%)
Lawrence
P wins: 44 (45.8%)
D wins: 52 (54.2%)
P wins R3: 13 (54.2%)
D wins R3: 11 (45.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)
New Haven
P wins: 43.5 (49.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 9 (40.9%)
D wins R3: 13 (59.1%)
P wins (top teams): 1 (12.5%)
D wins (top teams): 7 (87.5%)
New Rochelle
P wins: 49 (55.7%)
D wins: 39 (44.3%)
P wins R3: 13 (59.1%)
D wins R3: 9 (40.9%)
P wins (top teams): 2 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (50%)
Providence
P wins: 51.5 (43.6%)
D wins: 44.5 (46.4%)
P wins R3: 7.5 (31.3%)
D wins R3: 16.5 (68.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (30%)
D wins (top teams): 7 (70%)
Des Moines
P wins: 43.5 (45.3%)
D wins: 52.5 (54.7%)
P wins R3: 13.5 (56.3%)
D wins R3: 10.5 (43.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)
Tallahassee
P wins: 49 (51.0%)
D wins: 47 (49.0%)
P wins R3: 15.5 (64.6%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (35.4%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)
Williamsburg
P wins: 43 (53.8%)
D wins: 37 (46.3%)
P wins R3: 7 (35%)
D wins R3: 13 (65%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (50%)
Tempe
P wins: 46.5 (64.6%)
D wins: 25.5 (35.4%)
P wins R3: 13 (72.2%)
D wins R3: 5 (27.8%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)
Total
P wins: 993 (50.5%)
D wins: 975 (49.5%)
P wins R3: 246.5 (49.9%)
D wins R3: 247.5 (50.1%)
P wins (top teams): 99 (50.5%)
D wins (top teams): 97 (49.5%)
Jackson
P wins: 45.5 (51.7%)
D wins: 442.5 (48.3%)
P wins R3: 11 (50%)
D wins R3: 11 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 8 (80%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (20%)
Washington
P wins: 54.5 (56.8%)
D wins: 41.5 (43.2%)
P wins R3: 16.5 (68.8%)
D wins R3: 7.5 (31.3%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)
Dayton
P wins: 40.5 (42.2%)
D wins: 45.5 (57.8%)
P wins R3: 12 (50%)
D wins R3: 12 (50%)
P wins (top teams): 0 (0%)
D wins (top teams): 6 (100%)
Lawrence
P wins: 44 (45.8%)
D wins: 52 (54.2%)
P wins R3: 13 (54.2%)
D wins R3: 11 (45.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)
New Haven
P wins: 43.5 (49.4%)
D wins: 44.5 (50.6%)
P wins R3: 9 (40.9%)
D wins R3: 13 (59.1%)
P wins (top teams): 1 (12.5%)
D wins (top teams): 7 (87.5%)
New Rochelle
P wins: 49 (55.7%)
D wins: 39 (44.3%)
P wins R3: 13 (59.1%)
D wins R3: 9 (40.9%)
P wins (top teams): 2 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (50%)
Providence
P wins: 51.5 (43.6%)
D wins: 44.5 (46.4%)
P wins R3: 7.5 (31.3%)
D wins R3: 16.5 (68.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (30%)
D wins (top teams): 7 (70%)
Des Moines
P wins: 43.5 (45.3%)
D wins: 52.5 (54.7%)
P wins R3: 13.5 (56.3%)
D wins R3: 10.5 (43.8%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (37.5%)
D wins (top teams): 5 (62.5%)
Tallahassee
P wins: 49 (51.0%)
D wins: 47 (49.0%)
P wins R3: 15.5 (64.6%)
D wins R3: 8.5 (35.4%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)
Williamsburg
P wins: 43 (53.8%)
D wins: 37 (46.3%)
P wins R3: 7 (35%)
D wins R3: 13 (65%)
P wins (top teams): 3 (50%)
D wins (top teams): 3 (50%)
Tempe
P wins: 46.5 (64.6%)
D wins: 25.5 (35.4%)
P wins R3: 13 (72.2%)
D wins R3: 5 (27.8%)
P wins (top teams): 6 (75%)
D wins (top teams): 2 (25%)
Total
P wins: 993 (50.5%)
D wins: 975 (49.5%)
P wins R3: 246.5 (49.9%)
D wins R3: 247.5 (50.1%)
P wins (top teams): 99 (50.5%)
D wins (top teams): 97 (49.5%)
 what's perjuries
 Posts : 3
Reputation : 6
Join date : 20200203
Re: 2020 Regionals Case Bias Stats
Thu Feb 20, 2020 6:56 pm
Wow! I am really surprised at how balanced this case is turning out. I think these are some of the best regionals balance numbers since Riley Winter(?) It will be interesting to see the more detailed numbers once AMTA puts out the midyear balance memo.
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